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Table 4 The predicted results in the caries of permanent teeth-related numbers and age-standardized rates of incidence prevalence and DALYs by sex globally from 2022 to 2046 of the BAPC model

From: Global, regional, and national caries of permanent teeth incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years, 1990-2021: analysis for the global burden of disease study

year

sex

Age-standardized incidence rate

Numer of incidence cases

Age-standardized prevalence rate

Numer of prevalence cases

Age-standardized DALYs rate

Numer of DALYs cases

2022

Female

53188.04

2.14E + 09

55264.86

2.18E + 09

53.81832

2168354

2023

Female

53344.26

2.17E + 09

55310.72

2.2E + 09

53.85238

2191887

2024

Female

53514.43

2.2E + 09

55371.25

2.22E + 09

53.89748

2215531

2025

Female

53691.82

2.23E + 09

55440.26

2.24E + 09

53.94964

2239059

2026

Female

53863.96

2.26E + 09

55500.63

2.25E + 09

53.99466

2261730

2027

Female

54038.71

2.29E + 09

55549.82

2.27E + 09

54.03093

2283587

2028

Female

54226.02

2.32E + 09

55606.35

2.29E + 09

54.07156

2305216

2029

Female

54424.92

2.35E + 09

55676.76

2.3E + 09

54.12269

2326876

2030

Female

54629.94

2.38E + 09

55755.12

2.32E + 09

54.18033

2348366

2031

Female

54830.98

2.41E + 09

55825.14

2.34E + 09

54.23099

2368996

2032

Female

55034.41

2.44E + 09

55884.56

2.35E + 09

54.27315

2388806

2033

Female

55248.14

2.48E + 09

55950.58

2.36E + 09

54.31925

2408344

2034

Female

55471.41

2.51E + 09

56029.41

2.38E + 09

54.37504

2427877

2035

Female

55699.85

2.54E + 09

56115.79

2.39E + 09

54.43697

2447247

2036

Female

55925.47

2.57E + 09

56194.61

2.41E + 09

54.49258

2465815

2037

Female

56153.27

2.59E + 09

56263.83

2.42E + 09

54.54045

2483605

2038

Female

56389.47

2.62E + 09

56338.92

2.43E + 09

54.59191

2501121

2039

Female

56633.43

2.65E + 09

56425.54

2.45E + 09

54.65206

2518587

2040

Female

56881.73

2.68E + 09

56518.92

2.46E + 09

54.71764

2535848

2041

Female

57128.16

2.71E + 09

56605.36

2.47E + 09

54.77741

2552323

2042

Female

57376.59

2.74E + 09

56683.03

2.48E + 09

54.83004

2568018

2043

Female

57631.82

2.77E + 09

56765.56

2.49E + 09

54.8856

2583371

2044

Female

57893.36

2.8E + 09

56858.05

2.5E + 09

54.94866

2598562

2045

Female

58158.63

2.83E + 09

56956.48

2.51E + 09

55.01638

2613446

2046

Female

58422.86

2.85E + 09

57048.98

2.52E + 09

55.07914

2627521

2022

Male

52949.52

2.13E + 09

54010.69

2.22E + 09

53.7195

2157543

2023

Male

53209.05

2.16E + 09

53953.73

2.24E + 09

53.79016

2179897

2024

Male

53479.45

2.19E + 09

53912.81

2.26E + 09

53.87247

2202364

2025

Male

53755.91

2.21E + 09

53880.49

2.29E + 09

53.96179

2224744

2026

Male

54030.8

2.24E + 09

53839.54

2.31E + 09

54.04086

2246431

2027

Male

54308.27

2.27E + 09

53788.8

2.33E + 09

54.11099

2267345

2028

Male

54595.39

2.29E + 09

53746.55

2.35E + 09

54.18577

2288045

2029

Male

54891.69

2.32E + 09

53718.59

2.38E + 09

54.27138

2308782

2030

Male

55193.29

2.35E + 09

53698.3

2.4E + 09

54.36334

2329374

2031

Male

55493.93

2.38E + 09

53670.31

2.42E + 09

54.44565

2349244

2032

Male

55797.17

2.4E + 09

53633.63

2.44E + 09

54.5194

2368310

2033

Male

56108.59

2.43E + 09

53604.25

2.46E + 09

54.59723

2387098

2034

Male

56427.83

2.45E + 09

53587.32

2.48E + 09

54.68482

2405863

2035

Male

56751.8

2.48E + 09

53577.23

2.5E + 09

54.77825

2424456

2036

Male

57075.46

2.51E + 09

53560.68

2.52E + 09

54.86327

2442315

2037

Male

57401.76

2.53E + 09

53536.76

2.54E + 09

54.94061

2459363

2038

Male

57735.02

2.56E + 09

53519.03

2.56E + 09

55.0216

2476096

2039

Male

58074.93

2.58E + 09

53511.86

2.57E + 09

55.11117

2492741

2040

Male

58419.04

2.61E + 09

53510.47

2.59E + 09

55.20578

2509152

2041

Male

58763.39

2.63E + 09

53503.54

2.61E + 09

55.29296

2524805

2042

Male

59110.34

2.66E + 09

53490.21

2.63E + 09

55.37312

2539627

2043

Male

59463.17

2.68E + 09

53481.72

2.64E + 09

55.45613

2554062

2044

Male

59821.69

2.71E + 09

53481.81

2.66E + 09

55.54626

2568304

2045

Male

60184.03

2.73E + 09

53486.67

2.67E + 09

55.64059

2582219

2046

Male

60547.12

2.75E + 09

53487.1

2.69E + 09

55.72876

2595344

  1. Abbreviations: DALYs disability-adjusted life years, BAPC Bayesian age-period-cohort